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Scenario Planning 101: From uncertainty to actionable insight and executive buy-in
November 12, 2025 @ 2:00 pm – 3:00 pm EST
Description:
In an unpredictable world, relying on static risk management is no longer an option. Join us for this session where we demystify scenario planning and explore how to move beyond simple guesswork to proactively model and quantify potential disruptions to your business.
This webinar is your foundational guide to understanding and building effective risk scenarios. We will begin with the basics, defining risk events, causes, and consequences, and then introduce practical tools. You will learn the mechanics of bow-tie analysis to visually map out causal relationships, and explore how monte carlo simulations can quantify the full spectrum of potential financial impact—from best-case to worst-case outcomes. We will review compelling examples of scenarios to build and model. Finally, we’ll cover the essential steps for creating a rapid response plan and, most importantly, building a strong, data-backed business case to secure executive buy-in for mitigation investment.
Learning objectives:
- Define the core components of a risk event and utilize Bow-tie analysis to visually map the causal relationship between a central risk, its causes, and its consequences.
- Explain the purpose of Monte Carlo simulation and to leverage the modeling to analyze likelihood, impact and confidence levels.
- Construct a compelling executive-ready business case for mitigation investment by demonstrating potential impact on your organization.
CPE credit(s): 1
Field of study: Management Services
Instructional delivery method: Group Internet Based
Level: Basic
Prerequisite: None
Advanced preparation: None
